I suppose the new peace talks should be exciting news and a reason for optimism, and indeed it is, if you view it from one particular angle, which I will go over. MSM, of course, for their own political reasons, are not getting very excited over this, after all, what would happen if President Bush succeeded where Bill Clinton failed, and additionally, if President Bush were to pull this off, the MSM and Left Wing's collective heads would explode simultaneously. Nonetheless, here is what I mean by the one angle in which this may work.
Since Hamas won the elections in Palestinian controlled areas, tensions have been astoundingly highly, and the subsequent split of the Palestinian areas of the West Bank and Gaza have helped to fuel tensions amongst the Palestinian people as well as Israelis to a higher level. However, this rift in Palestinian control may actual help fulfill peace between Israel and the Abbas's Fatah, which controls the West Bank. Here's my rationale. Abbas has the backing of most of the Arabic states in the area, not Hamas, which is in control of the West Bank. Abbas also has the support of most Western nations, as there is simply no way that we will ever legitimize or support a terrorist organization so long as a Democrat is not in charge. Abbas also needs to gather support amongst all Palestinians against the terrorist organization that controls Gaza. This all adds up to an interesting recipe.
The scenario I see working is one where Abbas strikes a deal with Ohmert that garners concessions on both sides backed with aid from Western nations as well as Arabic nations. This would lead to more prosperous West Bank in relation to Gaza, where the population would demand that Hamas do something drastic to improve their situation, which of course they won't. Seeing some positive movements in a peace movement with Israel would turn the population against Hamas and allow for the first Palestinian-Israeli co-operation in being the restoration of true democracy to the Palestinian people. A very, very long shot indeed, but a possibility where Israel can get some points with the Palestinians and Abbas gains control of all Palestinian areas and successful defeats his Hamas rivals.
Perhaps this is why Hamas was so "shocked" when Arabic states backed the talks that are currently underway between Abbas's government and Olmert's government. A situation like the one I spelled out above would be a death blow to Hamas in Palestine, which of course, would further shun Iran from influence in the Mideast. Which is exactly why Iran has gone out and offered an "alternative" meeting to include the militants who are dedicated to achieving Iran's stated goals of Israel's destruction. Iran and Hamas do not want any progress on the peace front, to hell with all the human suffering that has for so long existed. So you see why this can work, and why Iran and Hamas are in a panic.
-Caomhin
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1 comment:
"if President Bush were to pull this off, the MSM and Left Wing's collective heads would explode simultaneously"
Heheh.
"there is simply no way that we will ever legitimize or support a terrorist organization so long as a Democrat is not in charge"
I wouldn't say that. The United States and European nations have been supporting Fatah for years now, as it's seen as the "moderate" party, despite calling for the destruction of Israel in its charter, same as Hamas.
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